Whatever the case, a wounded ISS will have been fairly rotten luck. Back in 2017, scientists from NASA and a Russian space contractor put the odds of this worst-case scenario at 1 in 121. As of late 2025, NASA told WIRED the risk of debris causing a depressurization event in any six-month period was somewhere between 1 in 36 and 1 in 170.
An ice-core record of hydrogen reveals that atmospheric levels vary in response to climate change and have increased drastically owing to human activity since the pre-industrial era. The apparent sensitivity of hydrogen cycling to environmental conditions should be considered when projecting the consequences of rising anthropogenic hydrogen emissions in a warming climate.
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